October’s Drought, November’s Outlook: Robertson County Weather Report

October’s Drought, November’s Outlook: Robertson County Weather Report

ROBERTSON COUNTY TENNESSEE: (Smokey Barn News) – As October comes to a close, Robertson County finds itself in a dry spell, with no recorded rainfall since September. Typically, the county receives an average of 3 to 3.5 inches of rain during this month, but this year’s unusual weather patterns have raised concerns about the impacts on local agriculture and the environment.

With the potential development of El Niño on the horizon, the upcoming months may bring further fluctuations in weather, leaving residents and farmers alike wondering what to expect as we transition into the winter season.

Smokey’s weather guy, Will Jones

—This year for October, we have had no rain since the last day of last month. The average rainfall for our county is about 3 to 3.5 inches for the month.

From what we see in the Pacific Ocean, the El Niño effect has a 60% chance of developing in November. El Niño is a climate pattern affecting U.S. weather. During an El Niño, warm water shifts to the U.S. West Coast, causing the jet stream to move south, potentially bringing more moisture to that region.

El Niño typically ends in December. A 60% chance isn’t a guarantee, but if it does develop, it may bring more rain to the southern U.S., leaving us dry in Middle Tennessee.

 

I predict less rain than usual in November and December. Our temperatures are also above normal; in Robertson County, November averages are usually in the mid-60s, dropping by about 10 degrees later in the month, with cooler nights in the 30s and 40s. We’ve had snow on Halloween in the past and sharp temperature drops by Thanksgiving, although it often warms up shortly after.

This year, we expect rain on Halloween night and maybe Friday morning, followed by a return to dry, warm weather in Robertson County. Thanksgiving also looks warmer than usual.

This year’s weather patterns differ greatly from past years. Plants are responding by producing less than usual for this time of year. We’ll likely see effects on our gardens and fields by spring. Many gardens underperformed this summer and fall, and farmers report reduced profits from their crops.

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